Players please close your eyes

Chapter 417 417. Second round

Because the rules mentioned by the man just now did not say that a new round of blood chips must be used.

Therefore, the remaining chips from the first round can also be used to bribe the referee to skip shooting.

Although it can only be used three times, having more chips than others means one more chance.

"This rule encourages gun gambling."

Ge Sheng spoke directly again, as if he didn't care whether his analysis would benefit others, he just said what he had to say, and he said it straight from the heart.

"What to say, little brother."

Sheriff Wang wiped his sweat with a handkerchief again. Although the banquet hall was not hot, heavy people still tend to secrete oil and sweat after sitting for a while.

"You see, in the previous rules, shooting only had the risk of being shot, but now, shooting can earn chips. If we look at the probability of the previous ten rounds, the probability of being shot is one-sixth. Jumping After three rounds, in the remaining seven rounds, you may get a shot and lose five chips. However, in the other six rounds, because you choose to shoot, you can gain chips. After all, you can still get one more chip. "

Ge Sheng took the cup on the table and explained.

"So the key is, in fact, on those three skipping opportunities, if you can avoid being shot, you can earn four chips for that one skipping opportunity. Although it may not be possible to become the person with the most chips, at least it will not Be eliminated."

"Indeed, little brother, if you put it this way, it seems difficult to avoid being shot."

Sheriff Wang muttered to himself.

After all, in the previous rules, ten chips can skip ten shots, and everyone is equal. But in this rule, based on the minimum ten chips, everyone can only skip three times, and there are seven shots. The chance, calculated as a one-sixth probability, is that you will be shot at least once, and if you are unlucky, you may get shot twice.

As long as you avoid being shot three times by skipping the shot, the possibility of your chips returning to zero will be greatly reduced.

Sheriff Wang, who often hangs around casinos, suddenly lost his expression. He opened his mouth and wanted to say something, but finally did not speak.

He only glanced at Ge Sheng.

"Xiao Ge, you are so awesome!"

Qiao Mu praised him without knowing the truth, like a kid who graduated from kindergarten.

Sheriff Wang wiped his sweat, stood up, and left the table.

There is still a while before the game starts, and everyone is looking around to find the next group members.

After all, members of the same group are enemies and targets for gaming. No one wants to be in a group with a cunning person.

This situation quickly spread to other people.

Qiao Mu saw that obviously no one wanted to be in a group with the Black Ax Gang and ask for trouble. Therefore, Li Ke and others could only continue to form a group by themselves, but this meant that more than half of them had to die. , which is something even the members of the Black Ax Gang are unwilling to accept.

The atmosphere between them was a bit awkward.

At this time, Qiao Mu suddenly saw Wushan walking in front of Li Ke.

"Are you still missing someone? Add me."

Wushan said this to the boss of the Black Ax Gang.

"Is he crazy?" "What does this man want to do?" "Is he tired of living?"

People around were talking a lot.

Someone recognized that this was the person who had tricked Zheng Long before, and now they saw him meeting the Black Ax Gang. They thought this person was simply crazy.

Qiao Mu originally didn't understand why Wushan wanted to get closer, but then he thought about it.

After all, Wushan is a local from the old city.

If Qiao Mu discovers a local bully in some mission and cannot punish him by normal means, he may be like Wushan and personally make them fall into the abyss in this gambling game.

As Kiriyama often says, a person's character is his destiny.

"Don't take it lightly."

Suddenly, Su Hong's voice came from behind Qiao Mu.

He pretended not to know Qiao Mu and muttered casually.

"That reporter is not simple. He is misleading others. You should be careful."

After saying that, Su Hong walked towards the other side of the banquet hall.

Because Su Hong had just used the [Law of Conservation of Character] to tamper with the probability of being shot, so he seemed to be an ordinary gambler with good luck, and he easily joined another group of people.

"In this game, the person who shoots first should have an advantage like before. We have to randomly assign them."

someone in this group suggested.

Su Hong remained silent, acquiescing to his idea.

For Su Hong, the less others understand the essence of the game, the greater their advantage.

And judging from the relationship between the first and second rounds, maybe the third round is also a roulette game, but the rules will change again.

If the first round of roulette is a risk-averse game, then the second round of roulette is essentially a financial management game.

In the first round of the game, the player in the back has a huge advantage, because if the person in front is shot, the person who is shot will always have fewer chips than others. In addition, everyone can keep paying the chips, so once If you fall behind, there will no longer be a chance to make a comeback, and everyone will tend to adopt a conservative strategy.

But in the second round of the game, you have the chips accumulated in the first round, and you can still earn chips by shooting. If you use the three skip opportunities improperly, it is equivalent to spending six more chips than a person who shoots normally. For a person, even if he is hit by one bullet, plus the one he loses because he did not dodge, it is still an additional expenditure of six chips.

Therefore, based on the expected probability, in ten rounds of your own, if you skip three times and choose to shoot and get one bullet in the end, the final number of chips will be the same.

Putting aside the unlucky guy who got hit by two or three bullets, the only way to stand out is to choose to shoot all the time and miss one bullet, or to skip one or two key rounds where he might be hit.

But this is only an ideal situation.

After all, it is impossible for you to choose to shoot every round. There may be an unlucky guy who gets shot in the first two shots, causing the people behind him to not choose to shoot.

Moreover, in the middle rounds, there will also be situations where the first few people miss their shots, and it is your turn in the end, and the probability of being shot is extremely high.

Since there is no way to earn chips by relying on others to get shot in this round of the game, not shooting is actually a pure loss.

If the player grabs the first one, without getting hit, he may only have the chance to shoot in the first round, and then he will not have the right to shoot at the end, or when it is his turn, the probability of being hit has already been eliminated. Very high, you have to pay chips to skip it.

In this round of the game, you must get to the top three.

What's more, everyone has different remaining chips from the previous round, which makes the situation even more complicated.

So being first is a bad strategy.

Anyone who can think of this will definitely not tell others.

Just like Ge Sheng, the previous reporter from Gucheng Daily, although he explained so much, he ignored the key parts.

Chief Wang obviously also noticed this.

"They are all old foxes."

Su Hong sighed and saw other people in the group discussing how to randomly select the first one.

He sighed and watched the Adjudicator load his revolver.